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PEAK
OIL WHAT THE EXPERTS ARE SAYING
In 1956 M. King Hubbert, a well known petroleum geophysicist, successfully predicted the peak of US Oil Production would occur in 1970, which it did, leading to the "energy crisis" of the 70's and 80's He also predicted that Global Oil production would peak sometime soon after 2000. Taking the 1973 and 1979 oil shocks (which reduced consumption and delayed the peak) into account, it seems M. King was right again. Global Oil production is peaking, or nearly peaking now. However, unlike the US, the world has no foreign suppliers to which it can look for more oil.
In 1970 US oil production peaked and went into slow decline. US oil demand continued to grow, leading to the first energy crisis. In late 2005, or early 2006 global oil production will peak and begin it's slow decline. Global demand for oil continues to grow rapidly.
The supply of oil in the ground is not
infinite, someday annual world crude oil production has to reach a peak
and start to decline. It is my opinion that the peak will occur in late
2005 or in the first few months of 2006. I nominate Thanksgiving Day,
11/24/2005, as World Oil Peak Day. There is a reason for selecting Thanksgiving.
We can pause and give thanks for the years from 1901 to 2005 when abundant
oil and natural gas fueled enormous changes in our society. At the same
time, we have to face up to reality: World Oil Production is going to
decline, slowly at first, and then more rapidly.
I don't think there is one [a solution
to the oil
We are climbing up a down escalator, [trying
to keepup with global oil demand]
The crisis is very, very near. World War
III has
My father rode a camel. I drive a car.
My son flies a jet airplane. His son will ride a camel.
We are almost through the age of oil.
It will be just a blip on the long progression of mankind. The question
is: what kind of future do we bequeath to our grandchildren?
It is past time. As I have said, the experts
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